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Tuesday, November 15, 2016

The Future : Sustainable Cities & Smart People

Early morning yesterday, as I stood in a long line, thankfully not an ATM outside a bank; but in the prefunction area of the Grand Ballroom at a leading 5 star hotel, to register myself for the RICS conference themed "The Turning Point In Built Environment", all I could hear in the gathering was talk of the recent demonetization of large currency notes and the story of its impact on the person narrating it.

Mind well, the room was filled with a lot of professionals, businessmen, consultants and developers from the Indian Real Estate fraternity, and for most of them, their life had already "turned" with the service of what the Prime Minister termed his "Bitter Strong Tea" in the hope of  making this Nation of ours "Better and Sweet". It's no secret that Indian real estate industry, right from land acquisition to sale of finished goods is run on a heavy dose of unaccounted cash (black money), and, it would be obvious to assume that this industry would be one of the worst hit. It comes at a time when the industry is already struggling with sluggish sales in the residential and retail segment, which in turn has started impacting cash flow and project completion. In addition, the introduction of the "REAL ESTATE REGULATORY ACT" (RERA) Act and the imposition of Goods and Services Tax (GST) has had many developers scramble to the offices of learned consultants, to understand the consequences of the fine print ramifications.

Normally, the mix of people at such a conference by RICS is quite well balanced. This time around there was a visible absence of mid to large size developers (and I am not discussing their physical weight here). One can assume they had better things to do in life, like figure out how to operate the laundry machine; or take a well deserved break from having operated it already. With no news of some well known names checking into hospitals or occupying prominent space in the obituary columns, then, a wild guess would suggest that the latest "surgical strike"; that is now a part of every Indian's vocabulary, was not really the world's best kept secret; and/or the people it intended to net were, as Yogi Bear would say, smarter than the "average bear"; and/or the people being labeled as practitioners of corruption, are honestly not corrupt. It's never good to assume or pay attention to rumors even when it seems like they are laden with hard and undeniable facts, maybe even tbe truth. In India, it's best to behave like the 3 monkeys rolled into one, so as to neither see, hear or speak of the evil prevailing around. So, let me move on to the what I had come to attend this conference for, learn, and learn I did. 

Did you know that building construction activity contributes to producing 40% of the global carbon footprint? Or that it chomps up nearly 30% of the energy produced? Or that it drinks up more than 30% of the available fresh water? In a populous nation like India, the consequences of this activity is even much higher including destruction of natural landscapes, consumption of God knows how much wood, forced conversion of agricultural land into land suited for construction, and the release of deadly toxins other than carbon into the air we breathe. Now put this in context of the 100+ SMART cities to be built in this Country. Scary, don't you think?

Today, India has some 40% of its population of 1.2 billion, that is around 480 million people living in Cities. By 2030, that number goes up to a staggering  600 million. That is, assuming the percentage does not go any higher and a hope that the population does not exceed 1.5 billion. A city like Mumbai and Delhi have higher populations than a nation as big as Australia. With a lot of developed nations revisiting immigration policies shipping Indians out may be a concern. I am not sure if even space travel would be evolved enough to ship people out of this planet in thousands leave alone millions. If one was to take a bird's eye view of Indian cities big and small, assuming you could see through the smog, one would notice filth and chaos, not to mention the noise and rage, the lack of basic utilities and broken or abused infrastructure. China built hundreds of  cities to contain urban migration, but ended up with ghost towns. In a sharp reversal of policy to create compact self sufficient cities, it s now focused on building "Super Mega" cities to accommodate 100 million + people. Will India's experiment with its 100+ SMART cities end up the same way? I can easily imagine Pune becoming a burb of Mumbai within a decade. 

SMART Cities are for those who have a higher than average level of education and a respect for civic sense. Educated in India, there are many; but possession of civic sense is highly questionable even with the rich. Lower down the strata, there are people who need to go back to taking potty training classes, and this is not being said as a bad joke. Any Indian train or aircraft toilet is a testament to this fact. "Sulabh Sauchalyas" (Convenience Public Toilets) use, one cannot fathom it, as it's hard to enter them unless one has lost the use of olfactory senses. Let's be positive, and take it (not assume) that the "Swacch Bharat" (Clean India) initiative will show results, even though it looks like going nowhere as of now, India being a recent signatory to the "Paris Climate Agreement" may have to rethink its plans for such grand scale developments based on commitments given, which may be hard to adhere to given the on the ground reality. 

Cities are important. They are social structures, engines of growth and prosperity, and therefore magnets. Do we then need SMART cities or "Sustainable" cities planned intelligently - with the right combination of infrastructure, resource and space management; built with smart techniques that lower scarce resource requirements; are less polluting when built and non polluting when inhabited. Being SMART is just a component of smart planning. If this has to be achieved, there has to be a complete see change in the education process of the next generation to be able to correctly build, maintain, use and not abuse what is being created. In short build smart people first that understand the concept of sustainability and smartness will automatically follow. 

In the meantime, I am collecting enough money to buy myself a ticket to the moon.   

   

Thursday, November 10, 2016

The day of WhiteMight.

Tuesday 8th November, the United States of America went to vote. As the people of the strongest democracy in the world  were headed to the polling booths, to exercise their right to elect a new leader, the people of the world's largest democracy were shaken up by a news flash from their own leader.

No longer was the American election of any consequence as the matter on hand. At exactly 8 pm, the PM (Prime Minister) of India, Mr N Modi announced that from midnight that day, the existing currency notes in the denomination of Rs 1000 and Rs 500 would no longer be accepted as legal tender. Within 48 hours fresh currency notes would be circulated with certain checks and balances in an attempt to flush out people holding large amounts of undeclared cash; "black money" as it is commonly called in India.

By 9 pm Indian time, social media was rife with updates, rumours, rants, videos and jokes. It was kind of amazing, that in less than 30 minutes of the PM concluding his speech so much creative quality content could be generated. There was true excitement. For the first time in Indian history, post independence, had a PM taken such a bold step in an out an out war on cash hoarders, criminals, counterfeiters, and indirectly terror. The timing of the event was no less than the armed surgical strike authorised by him last month, on the terror camps hosted by our neighbour Pakistan.

The night saw utter chaos in India as people scrambled to lose as many of the currency notes they could, wherever permissible.

The Indian 9/11 (9th November)

The Indian Nation was in for a twin shock, the first, Donald Trump had crossed the magic 270 to become the most unpopular President-elect in the history of the USA; the Bombay Stock Exchange dived 1689 points within minutes of opening. No one in India cared much for other news including oil falling nearly 3% to US$ 44.82 per barrel. Gas stations, grocery stores, medical facilities and banks had lines resembling Venezuela, as did the overnight inflation in gold, though reasons were different. Inconvenienced yes, but people were, by and large, supportive of the PM's move, as they were of Trump's victory, and I am not being sarcastic here. Even the developers of the 5 Trump Towers in India were smiling knowing that the expensive non-moving inventory would sell out in a few days now despite the attack by the PM on "black".

Don's victory is being attributed to the possibility of a surge in white votes going his way, and Modi is counting on the fact that people of his Nation will transact more with "white" notes (money). Don's exceptionally mature speech to work for all of America did not win him too many fans, looking at the number of protests on the street in his own nation. Modi's exceptionally well planned move now appears less and less potent in the way the community holding the largest amount of cash have reacted (or rather remained unumoved and/or unaffected). The common (non white) man is scared in America, as is the common (non white money) man in India, albeit for different reasons.

Will Don succed in making America "Great" again? Will Modi succed in making India "Great" again? I don't have an answer. I wasn't a fan of Trump or Modi, still 'am not, but I do have a lot of respect for their grit in doing what they set out to do, despite the odds. Best wishes to both the Men (Gentle - they cretainly are not) on what they have set out to do. I wonder if President Duterte has an endearing term for both of them. The world wants to know (said the way Arnav Goswami would).





BUSINESS » MARKETS

Updated: November 9, 2016 12:49 IST

Sensex crashes 1,689 points on black money crackdown, U.S. election



Meet the Indian who is helping Donald Trump get the winning numbers in Arizona





Tuesday, November 1, 2016

Trump for President of The USI.




Dear Mr Trump,

In about a week, the people of The United States of America will decide if you should be their President, hence the leader of much of the free thinking world. As of now, theoretically, the odds are stacked against you. But, that's been the view from the time you jumped into this race, and despite what many may call, umpteen attempts of shooting yourself in the foot, you have reached a stage where you could actually make the White House your home for the next 4 years.

Hypothetically, let's just assume you lose; I know you hate it, what do you do? It will be hard for you to going back to being just another also-ran billionaire real estate tycoon. I think most billionaires in the world; and there happen to be a lot of Middle Eastern, Chinese, Russian, Indian, Nigerian, Mexican ones, who will think twice before doing business with you, given your expression of hate for their origins, and your new found abilities as a politician and double-speaker of half truths. We both know that half-truth is nothing but a well-disguised lie. Hosting beauty pageants and reality shows is really out of the question too, don't you think? The way this election race has been run, one cannot even push the scenario of vindictive politics aside. It will be another 4 years of wait I suppose, 'cause I don't think your present opponent will serve an additional term for one of many reasons, the obvious being that she is the one-eyed queen in a blind race. But then, who knows. There could be formidable challengers standing against you from your own Republican party, leave alone the Democrats.  Hmm, does not look too good a scenario.

From a global perspective, you don't have too many supporters either. There is a fear that your "Let's Make America Great Again" actually means "Let's make the world unstable again". Not that your opponent rocks, but if the world had a voice in this election, you would lose the race by more than a mile. See it this way, she is the "deep blue sea" in terms of choice, whereas you are the... I am sure you have that figured too. The only group who would truly be saddened by your loss would be the ones you actually hate; the men in black from the Middle East. They would so love to have you running America, no better ambassador for their cause than you in pushing recruits into their fold.

In a lot of ways, what you have proposed actually makes sense, but the way you want to go about doing it is giving everyone a serious heartburn. No matter what America and even the world may think of you, there is one nation where you are revered as a kind hero, of course, after its present Prime Minister, India. In fact, in July of 2017, the term of the Indian President comes to an end, and you could certainly make a bid for that seat. Don't worry if you are a foreigner, you could be naturalised in less than a month, people from across our border do that all the time, and quite a few for far more nefarious reasons that undermine our national security. Stopping them could itself be your calling card to becoming Citizen No. 1 of this Nation. You have already won the emotional sorts here (politically incorrect to call them  right wing activists) with your "Ab ki baar Trump Sarkar" just like our PM did not so long ago.
Activists of Hindu Sena perform a special prayer to ensure a victory of Trump in the upcoming elections, in New Delhi on Wednesday.
Pic Credit: Activists of Hindu Sena perform a special prayer to ensure a victory of Trump in the upcoming elections, in New Delhi on Wednesday. Photograph: Anindito Mukherjee/Reuters


The White House, what is it? Nothing larger than the outhouse of our Rashtrapati Bhavan, the largest Presidential accommodation in the world built on 320 acres of prime land in Delhi as compared to the former's 18 acres in Washington DC. You are a real estate developer, where would you rather stay bro? In India, insulting, misbehaving with or even groping women is not a taboo, especially for politicians.



PRIVELGES ACCORDED TO PRESIDENT OF INDIA
The other matters for which you were being grilled, they are such petty matters here, not even worth a front page story in the lousiest newspaper.  You may have a hard time talking about policies that hurt your next door neighbours Canada, Mexico, and your  neighbour across the Pacific, China, but there is no problem here if you come up with disparaging and derogatory statements against any of the neighbours, it's the done thing, all the time, even they do it, it's called sledging and we are all sporting enough to take it on the chin. Real Estate is big here, your "gyan" (knowledge) on this sector and tax matters will be so useful to the businessmen here. By the way, every building project franchised by you is already sold out. Your name is a hit. Think of it, virtually every important building built in your reign can sport your name...Trump Airport, Trump Smart-City, Trump Cruise terminal, Trump International airport, Trump Expressway, possibilities endless including a grand statute costing US dollars half a billion or more. You made a casino called Taj Mahal, but India has the real thing. Think of making Agra the Atlantic City of India, your relatives can officially become partners in every business enterprise set up there. Best part, you would not have to invest even a single US dollar or Rupee even.



Indian Trump supporter
Pic Credit: Make India great again. (Adnan Abidi/Reuters)
 If you became the President of The USA, you would have to suffer endless precious hours over domestic and international policy matters, debates at Capitol Hill, deal with dissidence within your own team, and many such avoidables. Won't be easy saying "You are fired" each time someone disagrees with you. In the end, you will end up as a  villain for all. In India, all these matters are handled by the Prime Minister's office leaving the President to pursue matters "close to the heart", and that has a very wide scope. There is so much you can do here like "Make India Great Again", so much better sounding than just "Make in India". 

Surely, by just having you here, the entire Republican party would be so grateful to us that it would fight for India in Capitol Hill to grant it any and all concessions it wants on climate control, manufacture of advanced weaponry, as well as arm-twist China into accepting us as a full member of the NSG, and, (let me catch my breath), fulfill many more such wonderful dreams. We have an accomplished Vice Presidential running mate already in place, and he has so many similar traits that you would think of him as a twin lost at birth. 

Do keep me in mind as an advisor or something if you take up this suggestion. Just think of it, Donald Trump… President… The United States of India… well yes… I know... your chances for the US Presidency just got better... unless of course, the Democrats do something unusual like BRING BERNIE BACK. Now, what are chances of that happening... right?  

Regards and best wishes for the election day, and God please save America.


PS: I am not pandering to your ego for a migration visa.  With such lousy tax laws in your Country, I am sincerely better off here. If you do make it as the President of the USA, then do remember, we Indians spend a lot of money shopping and holidaying in your Country, please don't spoil that for us.   







Polls show battleground map tightening

Hillary Clinton's once-decisive Electoral College advantage is narrowing.


Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/battleground-polls-clinton-trump-230507#ixzz4Oehsi0y0 
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook

The 37 Fatal Gaffes That Didn’t Kill Donald Trump

The GOP nominee has defied presidential campaign precedent, turning blunders into a shot at the White House.


Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/trump-biggest-fatal-gaffes-mistakes-offensive-214289#ixzz4OegkLZVM 
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook






Donald Trump’s Week of Misrepresentations, Exaggerations and Half-Truths

POLITICO fact-checked both candidates for a week. This is what we found.


Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/09/2016-donald-trump-fact-check-week-214287#ixzz4Oeh8RyHg 
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook


Donald Trump’s Greatest Self-Contradictions

The many, many, MANY sides of the likely Republican nominee, in his own words.


Read more: http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/05/donald-trump-2016-contradictions-213869#ixzz4Oegw7irB 
Follow us: @politico on Twitter | Politico on Facebook





Hillary Clinton should step down in favor of Bernie Sanders to be the Democratic Candidate




On the truth behind President Pratibha Patil.

Posted: October 20, 2011 in Politics


Just don’t call Subramanian Swamy the ‘Trump of India’


If Donald Trump becomes US President, India may gain at China's expense. Here's why

READ MORE ON » Sunday ET | Presidential Primary System | Hillary Clinton | Donald Trump | Democratic Party
Good morning, Quartz readers!

If Donald Trump loses on Nov. 8, a great many people in both America and elsewhere will breathe a huge sigh of relief. But the truth is there won’t be that much to be relieved about.

In the US, Trump’s influence will linger. His campaign showed that a politician can spew outright lies and blatant hate-speech and still retain support. Others will follow his example, and even moderates will be less afraid of the truth-o-meter. That will intensify social media’s echo-chamber effect and further shrink America’s capacity for serious political debate.

Trump also convinced lots of voters (who admittedly didn’t need much convincing) that American judges are biased, the media tell only lies, elections are rigged, and no branch of government is to be trusted. Whether the Republican party falls apart in the wake of Trump’s defeat or is rejuvenated, it will have this alienated, angry bloc of voters to contend with. If he wants it, the unofficial role of Republican kingmaker will be Trump’s for the taking.

Outside the US, too, Trumpist attitudes have been taking root, perhaps buoyed by his success. Xenophobia is sweeping Europe, as evidenced by the Brexit vote, the proliferation of new border fences, and the gains by far-right leaders in a variety of national elections. World trade is slowing and protectionism is on the rise.

No matter who wins, then, the next president will take office in an increasingly Trumpian world. That is perhaps the Donald’s true victory: that ideas that a year ago seemed beyond the pale are now increasingly accepted as a normal part of politics.—Gideon Lichfield

Thursday, October 27, 2016

Death of a Penguin



I just got back from down under - Australia - before you get down to drawing other conclusions. It was a week of rejuvenation, and no spa was needed. Great weather, fresh air, fabulous food,  amazing people of different ethnicity, fantastic natural and man-made places to see and experience. Now this is what I would call true God's country. No newspapers or TV, not much net surfing either. Just soak in the goodness and do absolutely nothing. Surprisingly, even then a lot got done. I could feel a year added to my life.

penguinThen, I got back home. The first bit of headline news that hit me was the mysterious removal of Cyrus Mistry as Chairman of the Tata Group, and second, the political furore over the death of a penguin. Obviously, the second was more interesting to have made it prominently to the front pages.

In July this year, the Mumbai zoo imported eight rare Humboldt penguins from South Korea at a cost of US$ 350,000 or 3.5 million (as reported in the press) . They were to be put on public display around early December; when the temperature controlled enclosure to house them would have been completed. I must have missed the news then, as it certainly wasn't competing with the news of big boys then. In fact, it was one of the many initiatives of the Cub of Mumbai's first family to shake and disrupt the City's fun and fitness image in more than one way. I fully stand behind him in that endeavour, as this City ranks number 1 in India for the quality of life, and after having experienced the 10th best in the WORLD, I really don't think the No. 1 in India holds any relevance at all. What I can't understand though is that his directions are totally contrary to what are required to set the existing malaise right first. Yes, Mumbai citizens are entitled to a zoo, but one that takes care of its charge and is truly capable of carrying out research, rescue, and protection of endangered species, as well as educating visitors on respect and good care of the living creations of this earth including trees.

Suddenly, one of the eight is dead and it has flared up into a major political issue in the State Assembly and is being debated more vociferously than the death of the farmers or other topics that need the attention of the elected members. Not that the death of a penguin is not important, but many animals in the zoo's care have died for graver reasons, and not a roar or whimper about them by any of our illustriously illustrated leaders.There is a demand that the remaining penguins be sent back to Korea for their own safety. Actually, every animal in the Mumbai zoo needs to be gifted to a zoo(s) that can take better care. This one is too small for most of the creatures it houses.

In the meantime, building of a Statue commemorating a truly illustrious leader that will cost this nearly broke State with broken infrastructure and even more broke ordinary taxpayers some US$ 500 million or more when completed has received the "go ahead" approval. The protests by the fishermen whose livelihood may be affected, and  the utility providers who claim to be unable to provide the required infrastructure at the site has obviously been blind sighted and fallen on deaf ears of our statuesque caretakers.  Incidentally, the zoo is named after this great leader's mother and I hope his statue does not suffer the same fate of neglect as the zoo, once it is completed. I am sure this great leader's soul must be anguished at the disservice, but what can it do now?

I wouldn't be surprised if a "Penguin" party emerges from all this drama or if voices are raised to erect massive statues of the martyred penguin too. Maybe that's not a bad idea. A zoo full of statues, where the poor animals will not have to endure a painfully horrifying jail term to please people disrespectful of life in general.









Thursday, October 6, 2016

These are the "Acche Din" (Good Days) - Enjoy.

GST has been cleared,
and good rains have brought relief.
A ton of  "black money" turned to white,
while RBI has cut the Repo rate,
As India signed the "Paris Pact",
fiercely to the neighbour, it also "gave it back".
Is it time for us to cheer?
Are the "Good Days" of PM Modi here?
Does the BSE Sensex need more
for it to soar?

Theoretically, of course, the BSE Sensex should be sitting above 30K. When the fundamentals were missing it soared and when they seem to be around the corner, it's doubting itself.  Well, I don't know how many would agree, as, over time,  this Country seems to have been conditioned in the art of being unhappy, and maybe its markets too. My own take it that the market will sit between 27K and 28K before the end of the year, and stay there until budget time.

Yes, we do have a terrible situation globally:

The US election battle gets murkier,
the Fed is keeping the world markets on edge.
Terror shows no signs of abating,
nor signs of refugees receding.
Each day sees new economic or political disturbance,
no continent or nation spared.

Practically we are still coupled to the present hiccuping global market. The situation at home may look very positive, but is it really so?

GST may have been cleared, but implementation still a hurdle as getting a consensus between the divided states run by varying political interests is a Herculean task. With the high rates being spoken of, the advantages of a unified regime may just be lost. Even so, there is an argument floating that the govt. may have no choice but to go with high rates if Corporate and Personal Income Taxes need to be brought down. In a country like India where only 3% of the population pays tax, an indirect tax regime - as regressive it may sound, maybe the only solution going forward. It's a 'wait and watch' until budget next year and the market sentiments reflect it too.

The rains may have been plentiful after three years of drought, in fact, too plentiful and too unseasonal, causing floods in many parts as well as ruining much of the winter crop. Food inflation does not look defeated just yet, and the markets are absorbing that fact.

The Government's "Income Declaration Scheme"  (IDS) brought disclosure of some 65,250 crore Rupees (US$ 10 billion) of unaccounted income, yielding some US$ 4.5 billion in taxes. The money multiplier effect of  injected ing this quantum of cash into the formal economy is many-fold, but the murmur is that it is just a fraction of the US$ 180 billion of unaccounted wealth tucked away in tax havens. Even so, the extraordinary tax collection will certainly help in completing several infrastructure projects or maybe hide the pain on the exchequer's fiscal deficit number on account of the pay hikes and PSU losses. The market is not fully convinced that the amount collected will do much for the economy or change the way the economy functions.

The new Governor of the Reserve Bank of India, Mr Urjit Patel, a follower of "Rajanomics" principles, departed from the policy of his predecessor and mentor by announcing a REPO rate cut of 25 basis points citing various economic indicators in support for his move. While the industry celebrated the move and labelled it progressive economics, there were murmurs that Rajan's exit and Patel's appointment were clearly linked to politics governing the Governor's decisions. One can say what one wants, but the biggest beneficiary would be the home and white goods market that now relies on debt for the acquisition of the same. It certainly gives a big kick for the Sensex to rise. But then, US can play spoilsport with elections and a rate hike there.

With the ratification of the "Paris Climate Pact", India was feted by the International community as a globally responsible nation, brightening its image as a world leader. Then again, there are many who are surprised that it did it ahead of being admitted as a full member of the NSG, thereby not only diluting its bargaining power for admission but also making it impossible for achieving the targets stipulated in the absence of access to more nuclear energy. For a nation that contributes 4.1% of global emissions, obtaining cheap and clean power as well as getting polluting industries to toe in line will be an expensive exercise, one that will put a drag on the markets in the short term.

Finally, the Indian Armed forces, tired of being badmouthed by media and bullied by terrorists across the border decided to show what it is made up of. A surprise well coordinated retaliatory surgical strike on terror camps across the Line of Control (LOC) became a reason for national bravado. However, falling prey to voices from across the border, voices within began demanding sensitive proof  of same from the Government and the forces.Whatever may be the political bickering internally and externally, the threat of the situation going out of hand would keep the markets on tenterhooks.

In another few days, the Q2 results will be tabled and I see them offering "hope with a chance of recovery" rather than something solid for the market to break the 30K barrier.

Unless there is some other fuzzy logic which may play out, the markets at least will play a range bound game.
Let's accept it, these are the good days because bad days could be worse. On a planet that is offering nothing but chaos, hope is the better option. We do have the world's attention on us, let's enjoy it and not do something silly to blow it.

Saturday, September 17, 2016

A twist in the State(s)

I could not help but laugh this morning, reading how the Chief Minister (CM) of an Indian State Arunachal Pradesh defected from the Congress party with some 21 elected members to join a regional party supporting the BJP (opposition). In a way, the CM has 59 out of 60 seats in his support. This comes just 2 months after the Congress legally wrestled itself back in power with the Courts ruling in its favour. The State has seen a fair bit of political drama in the last few months, including the suicide of Mr. Pul, the person who became Chief Minister of the State for just a few days. I wonder if the drama is over?

Meanwhile, the politics in the State of Uttar Pradesh is getting fairly twisted too with Yadav senior and junior trying to assert "who is the Daddy" of the State. Will Akhilesh end up breaking away from his father's shadow and party, and align with Rahul Gandhi and his merry Congressmen in the State elections of 2017? Or, will Akhilesh's brave move motivate Rahul to do something similar? Such miracles are known to happen in politics, and for once BJP would be praying that it does not. Though, it would be praying of course that the water wars in the two southern States of Tamil Nadu and Karnataka play out in its favour.

Talking about the state of miracles, there may be a mega-miracle happening far away from our very own USI (Ununited States of India) in the nation of miracles called the USA.

The miracle of miracles that I am referring to is of course that all Trump supporters are praying for; Hillary will drop out of the Presidential race. Fighting Bernie Sanders then, will it be a cakewalk for Trump to the White House?  I wouldn't advise the Trumpeters to open the bubbly as Sanders could be the one celebrating Woodstock in Washington. He has done the unexpected right thing by making friends with all Clinton supporters (by supporting her candidature of course), and there are plenty of Republicans who don't want Trump as President if Clinton is not the next best choice.

Finally, do I keep or chuck my Euros? Now, this question was posed to the Italians. The real ones, not the ones in India.

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Will the real "Son of a Whore" please stand up.

He first challenged Donald Trump to a fist fight  for calling a ban on Filipinos from entering the US; he then went on to slur President Obama for taking up the issue of "endorsed" extra-judicial killings of drug abusers in the Philippines. Well, apologies and denials by him have followed, but he has earned his country and himself some four days of negative fame globally. Did Duterte say what he did to prove something to his people? Did he think his sinking ratings would go up? After all "breaking bad" is in vogue. Good of him not to have threatened President Obama with extra-judicial killing for having experimented with weed in his college days.

President Obama, however, is made of better stuff. He comes across as very dignified, humble, and a man with a great sense of humour. More so, he seems to be quite forgiving. He forgave Hillary for her racial slurs against him in the 2008 elections, and he forgave Mr T too for calling him the worst President in US history. Forgave or not, he did meet his latest offender too, where the latter sought pardon and called it one big misunderstanding. Lately, the use of politically correct and  parliamentary language has taken a back seat if not entirely pushed out of the car, even by the best educated.

President Duterte, a very educated man, a lawyer, had been expelled from a couple of schools for misconduct, which could be interpreted as smashing a square peg in a round hole. It is possibly the same attitude that has got him this far in politics in a nation notorious for an extremely high crime rate, which most experts believe has police, political and even judicial backing. In such a situation, would a tame parliamentarian survive? When the law becomes the very tool for the lawless to prosper and fails to protect the innocent, does the system not gravitate towards abandoning the legal system and do what is needed to restore the right order? Tough questions. In the long run, the vigilantism slips into excesses. No one obeys the law and extra-judicial methods only encourage settling of personal scores, more human rights violations, an even greater rebuttal by those with power; the result, total anarchy in society. In this case too, hard to tell if drug offences will go down. In my own nation too, there has been a crackdown on corruption. Frankly, at one level I would have wished our leader too endorsed the extra-judicial killing of the corrupt given its rise, but thankfully that's not the case. It keeps the faith alive in the system. It's a different matter that corruption has actually gone up and not down after the crackdown measures have been put in place. There is growing anger and impatience waiting and wanting to vent, and those in power, the world over have to cure and not exploit it. One can only hope we don't drift in a different direction, though the latest violent attacks on police personnel for enforcing law and order is pointing at a very frightening social order ahead in time.

The world was more or less outraged by the "son of a whore remark", but does the world show the same outrage when most US services (naval) personnel still consider Duterte's nation as a country of prostitutes? Something to think about when the leaders of many powerful nations are themselves guilty of showering leaders of various less powerful nations and organisations with derogatory names and titles that sound worse than being called a "son of a whore or bitch or gun or whatever."